Why Republicans Shouldn’t Panic over Senate-Race Polls

There’s a simple reason the GOP’s Senate contenders are underperforming compared to Trump.

Share this story

U.S. Senate candidate Bernie Moreno speaks before former president Donald Trump takes the stage during a Buckeye Values PAC Rally in Vandalia, Ohio, March 16, 2024.

Kamil Krzaczynski/AFP via Getty Images

Recent polls show Republican Senate candidates trailing in key target states even when they also show President Trump ahead. But Republicans shouldn’t worry yet for one simple reason: candidate name identification.

Even in this polarized era, people tend not to say they will vote for someone they have never heard of. Despite many GOP candidates’ spending millions of dollars on television ads, they still are usually less well-known than their Democratic opponents. The result is that many people who say they will vote for Trump either go with the Democratic name they know or say they are undecided.

Henry Olsen

About the Author

Henry Olsen

Henry Olsen is a senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center and the author of The Working-Class Republican: Ronald Reagan and the Return of Blue-Collar Conservatism.

Comments

Advertisement

Advertisement