Why the Chinese Protests Came as a Surprise

China’s zero-Covid policy has been an obvious disaster, but the timing of uprisings in authoritarian societies can be impossible to predict.

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People hold white sheets of paper in protest over Covid restrictions after a vigil for the victims of a fire in Urumqi as Covid outbreaks continue in Beijing, China, November 27, 2022.

Thomas Peter/Reuters

The protests throughout China against the communist government have caught the world by surprise. China’s zero-Covid policies have been brutal for over two years, but only now are we seeing widespread demonstrations against them. And of course, zero-Covid is far from the only thing the Chinese government does that is worth protesting. Yet protests are relatively rare.

It’s not only because the Chinese government strictly controls information, although that is part of the reason. The overarching reason is the same reason that protests in authoritarian states almost always catch outside observers by surprise.

Dominic Pino

About the Author

Dominic Pino

Dominic Pino is a former economics editor and Thomas L. Rhodes Fellow at National Review and the former host of the American Institute for Economic Research podcast Econception.

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