2022 Election Cycle: Will Redistricting Help GOP Retake House?

On Monday, the results of the 2020 U.S. Census, which determine how the 435 U.S. House seats will be apportioned for the next decade, were released. Texas picked up two seats, while Colorado, Florida, Montana, North Carolina, and Oregon each picked up one. California, Illinois, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia, meanwhile, each lost one.

On the presidential level, reapportionment doesn’t change much. If the 2020 presidential election had been run with the new electoral map, Joe Biden would have won the Electoral College 303–235 rather than 306–232. So it seems unlikely that the results of the process will play a critical role in the 2024 presidential election. But the 2020 Census and redistricting alone could determine control of the House of Representatives in 2022.

About the Author

John McCormack

John McCormack is a former Washington correspondent for National Review and was a fellow at the National Review Institute.

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On Monday, the results of the 2020 U.S. Census, which determine how the 435 U.S. House seats will be apportioned for the next decade, were released. Texas picked up two seats, while Colorado, Florida, Montana, North Carolina, and Oregon each picked up one. California, Illinois, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia, meanwhile, each lost one.

On the presidential level, reapportionment doesn’t change much. If the 2020 presidential election had been run with the new electoral map, Joe Biden would have won the Electoral College 303–235 rather than 306–232. So it seems unlikely that the results of the process will play a critical role in the 2024 presidential election. But the 2020 Census and redistricting alone could determine control of the House of Representatives in 2022.