TX-17: It’s a Republican poll, but as Jim Geraghty notes over at The Campaign Spot, spot Edwards seven points in each direction and you still end up with a 48-43 lead for GOP challenger Bill Flores.

A new OnMessage Inc. poll conducted for Republican Bill Flores’ campaign shows him ahead of Rep. Chet Edwards (D), 55 percent to 36 percent. The poll of 400 likely voters was taken Sept. 19-20 and had a margin of error of 4.9 points.

Either way, Edwards seems to realize that his chances for reelection are getting slimmer by the day, as evidenced by his campaign’s increasingly frantic behavior. For more on why a once-beloved Blue Dog like Edwards is in so much trouble this year, see here.