The Supreme Court has rendered 27 rulings in argued cases this term. (That total excludes rulings on the emergency docket.) It has 34 remaining argued cases to decide before it recesses for the summer in late June or in the first few days of July. So that means an average of roughly a ruling a day over the next month. (I’m relying on SCOTUSblog statistics.)

The Court currently has seven announcement sessions scheduled—tomorrow and on subsequent Mondays and Thursdays, except that the session that would take place on Thursday, June 19, the federal holiday of Juneteenth, has been moved to the Wednesday before. It also will add in new announcement sessions as needed, typically near the very end.

As of now, there is only case on which we can make a strong guess about who will author the majority opinion: United States v. Skrmetti, which presents the question whether a Tennessee law that bars health-care providers from administering puberty blockers and cross-sex hormones to children as treatment for gender dysphoria violates the Equal Protection Clause.

Skrmetti is the only case from the Court’s first three sittings (October, November, and December 2024) that hasn’t yet been decided, and the Chief Justice is the only justice who hasn’t yet written two majority opinions from those sittings. So it would seem a safe bet that he is writing Skrmetti, and I think that it’s also a safe bet that the Court will reject the Equal Protection Clause challenge to the Tennessee law. (As I outlined in several posts, the Biden administration’s legal claims in Skrmetti rest on outrageous misrepresentations of the medical evidence and on a refusal to acknowledge the shocking scandal that underlies WPATH’s supposed “evidence-based guidelines.” If the Court were to commit the gross folly of concocting a new rule that laws affecting individuals who identify as transgender are subject to heightened scrutiny under the Equal Protection Clause, it would spend the next two decades sorting through the hornet’s nest of impenetrable disputes that such a rule would present.)

Look for rulings in less contentious cases from the January through April sittings to be issued over the next two weeks.