Too many Republicans are assuming they’ve already lost. As I write at the link, I think that’s too defeatist. The economy is what sank Republicans this year, and it could turn around in time for the presidential election.

could engineer, or accept, an end to the that lets oil flow more freely. The could finally raise interest rates enough to bring inflation down to a more tolerable level. If it moves fast, the central bank might even be able to bring rates back down in 2028.
Though Trump has rarely been popular, the pre-covid economy buoyed him enough that it started to look like he might easily win the 2020 election. The United States already has high employment rates. If that held while inflation and interest rates moderated, Trump’s approval rating would almost certainly rise a few points as former supporters came back to him.

I also argue, contrary to some of my colleagues and apparently to at least one Vance “confidant” (per the Wall Street Journal), that the vice president should run in 2028 if he ever wants to be president.