Strategic Vision, LLC, an Atlanta-based public relations and public affairs agency, announced the results of a three-day poll of 600 likely Republican primary voters and 600 likely Democratic primary voters. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.5% for each Party. The poll asked Republican respondents their choices for the Republican Presidential nomination in 2008. The results were, Arizona Senator John McCain 27%; former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney 26%; former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani 17%; former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee 15%; Texas Congressman Ron Paul 5%; and 10% undecided.
“The Republican race has tightened significantly since our previous poll last week,” said David E. Johnson, CEO of Strategic Vision, LLC. “This race is becoming a slugfest between McCain and Romney. As Giuliani loses support, many of his supporters are mobbing over to support McCain. McCain performs best among older voters, current and former members of the armed forces and among older Cuban voters. Among those voters who rate Iraq or the war on terrorism as the most important issue, McCain clearly leads.
“Romney does best among younger voters and those who view the economy as the number one issue,” continued Johnson. “Romney made significant gains in the Tampa Bay area since our earlier poll and at this time appears to have the most momentum.
“Giuliani’s unfavorable ratings have increased significantly and while he is leading in South Florida, he underperforms in the key I-4 Corridor,” concluded Johnson. “He also does well among those who indicated that they voted early. Huckabee draws very strongly among evangelical Christians but seems unable to expand his base beyond that.”
When asked what was the important issue for them personally when making a choice for President, 19% selected the war in Iraq; 18% said jobs and the economy; 15% said taxes; 11% said the war on terror; 11% said healthcare; 10% said education; and 16% were undecided.
When Republicans were asked how important it was for their presidential candidate to be conservative in the mode of Ronald Reagan, 47% said very important; 31% said somewhat important; 8% said not very important; 10% said not important; and 4% were undecided.
“The candidate who can best identify with this desire for a Reagan-like candidate will be the one who can win,” said Johnson. “At this point none of the candidates seem to be succeeding in persuading voters that they are this person.”
The poll asked Democrats their choice for the Democratic Presidential nomination in 2008. New York Senator Hillary Clinton led with 49%; Illinois Senator Barack Obama 36%; former North Carolina Senator John Edwards with 11%; and 4% undecided.
UPDATE: And here’s Rasmussen:
For most of the past week, John McCain was slightly behind Mitt Romney in Florida’s Republican Presidential Primary. Then, on Saturday, the Arizona Senator switched the subject of the campaign to his comfort zone–national security issues. Saturday night, the Arizona Senator got another bit of good news—an endorsement by popular Florida Governor Charlie Crist.
Polling on Sunday showed that McCain picked up four percentage points from the day before. Mitt Romney and Rudy Giuliani lost two points each and Mike Huckabee also slipped a point. As a result, it’s all tied heading into the final full day of campaigning before Florida’s Republican Presidential Primary. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Florida shows McCain and Romney tied at 31%, Giuliani is a distant third at 16% and Huckabee is in fourth place at 11%. The number of persuadable voters is also dwindling. Only 2% are undecided and just 6% say there’s a good chance they could change their mind. Seventy-nine percent (79%) of McCain’s voters have already voted or are certain they will vote for him. That number is identical for Romney voters. Just 5% of McCain voters and 7% of Romney voters say there’s a good chance they could change their mind.





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