I’m with Jeremy Carl on the over-reading of the New York result. I wrote about it today in Politico, as well as the new and improved Trump:

The past couple of weeks have supposedly been the debut of the new, more disciplined Trump, brought to heel by Paul Manafort, who through his international lobbying work has highly relevant experience in dealing with unsavory authoritarian personalities. And it is true — Trump hasn’t made an insulting reference to menstrual cycles or the appearance of a rival candidate’s wife in weeks (and he’s only retweeted one apparent white supremacist). At this rate, Trump might eventually get his unfavorables with women below 70 percent.
Every day Trump can be kept from chewing on the furniture is of marginal benefit to his campaign. Yet the toned-down Trump is still talking loosely of violence at the convention in July and says the party he wants to lead is corrupt. He benefits from the bigotry of low expectations, and the wishfulness of his media cheerleaders.
It was first remarked that he was becoming more presidential when he held a post-Super Tuesday news conference at Mar-a-Lago during which he threatened the speaker of the House. MSNBC’s Joe Scarborough hailed an insanely sour-grapes Trump news release after Wisconsin as a sign of Trump’s new professionalism. (Scarborough says that he’s a John Kasich supporter — the Ohio governor should demand some tangible proof, and bring a couple of witnesses and a notary.)