The Journal had an immigration editorial yesterday (no link, I believe). It
read in part: “At 36 million and counting, there are so many Americans of
Hispanic heritage already in the U.S. that even if we stopped immigration
cold today, their share of the electorate would rise, and rapidly. That
donkey has left the barn. And that’s bad news for any party that lets itself
be perceived as hostile to migration among Hispanics…” What the Journal is
acknowledging is a dynamic that NR and John O’Sullivan have long warned
about—high levels of immigration would make it politically impossible, as a
matter of pure demographics, to restrain immigration. Now the Journal tells
us that NR was right all along. A couple of other things. The Journal says,
“The point isn’t that Republicans need to play identity politics the way
Democrats do. Hispanic voters will settle for being treated like other
Americans, but they will punish politicians who appear to be actively
hostile to their efforts to get ahead.” OK, fair enough. But how does
continued mass Hispanic immigration help an individual Hispanic “get ahead”?
If he’s low-skilled, doesn’t it actually work against his individual
economic interest, by potentially depressing his wages? High-level
immigration seems to do more to help Hispanics as a collective class by
increasing their political and social clout, in other words its helps
basically as a matter of identity politics. Finally, the Journal says of
Hispanic voting patterns, “Especially as they vote for the first time,
Hispanics are persuadable.” I may be wrong but I have always had the
impression that new Hispanic immigrants, who are generally poor and
obviously not well-assimilated, tend to vote Democratic. And that Hispanics
tend to vote GOP only as they become wealthier and are in the country
longer. But the Journal makes it sound as if it is a great boon to the
Republican cause to have new Hispanic immigrants in the voting booths.






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