I’ve heard from some pretty confident House conservatives in the last day or so — confident about the prospects of the immigration disaster dying in the House. Mickey Kaus issues a caution to them:

Don’t count on the House! Last night I ran into a veteran D.C. Democratic aide/strategist who confirmed one suspicion about the immigration bill: The House Dems are lowballing the number of votes they have for it. No way they need 70 GOP votes–though that is a number still being reported in the press . … Senators who vote for the bill thinking the House will kill it are probably deluding themselves … P.S.: I also suspect there is a certain amount of sandbagging going on with all the House talk about how the bill is going to be broken up and maybe just the enforcement parts passed, etc. Are they trying to ease the minds of Senate fence-sitters, assuring them the House won’t approve anything like the Senate’s “Grand Bargain”? This suspicion is unconfirmed, however. 1:37 P.M.