Our first crisis is making sure our hospitals donโt get overwhelmed. Our next crisis is keeping the most vulnerable elderly and immunocompromised away from the coronavirus. Our next crisis is restarting the economy from its widespread halt.
But after that, there are plenty of follow-on problems that will need to be addressed โ here are four that are getting little attention compared to the ongoing fights in Washington.
State and local sales-tax revenue is plummeting right now. No open businesses, no purchases, no sales-tax collections. Are state and local governments preparing for the near future when the incoming money is way below their previous projections? In New Jersey, the state treasury may put the brakes on nearly $1 billion in slated spending.
In response to the quickly evolving impacts of COVID-19 on the Stateโs finances, on March 20, 2020, the Director of the Division of Budget and Accounting (the โBudget Directorโ) placed over $900 million of items of appropriation into reserve, which means that the Budget Director identified various appropriations which will now require the Budget Directorโs approval before the appropriated amount may be expended . . .
Both public and private pension plans suddenly look way shakier with the sudden plummeting stock markets. Pension plans operate on hopefully safe assumptions about returns on investments. Those assumptions are now blown to heck, and while itโs too early to say just how bad the damage is going to be . . . itโs going to be pretty darn bad:
With the collapse in stock prices, the stateโs public-employee pension systems โ mainly California Public Employeesโ Retirement System and the California State Teachersโ Retirement System โ are taking a beating.
At last count, the combined retirement liability for state workers and teachers topped $250 billion. And because the funds depend largely on investment earnings to keep up with pension checks, Wall Streetโs rout will lead to bigger unfunded liabilities at CalPERS and CalSTRS.
โI donโt even want to think about the impact on the pension funds,โ said Brad Williams, a veteran budget analyst and partner at Capitol Matrix Consulting. โWe know that pensions were underfunded going into this, andโฆonce you get behind, itโs hard to claw back, so we really need a bounce back in markets to avoid pretty dire circumstances.โ
Traditional education of Americaโs children has come to a screeching halt. Most schools cannot grade students until they reopen their doors: โItโs an equity issue. If you canโt guarantee all your students have online access, nothingโs graded,โ said Tim Robinson, a spokesman in Seattle Public Schools in Washington, which closed schools and plans to broadcast not-for-grade educational activities online and by TV. โOur goal is to keep the students from going into a summer slide.โ
Right now, many schools are doing their best, trying to assemble and implement an online and distance-learning curriculum that they never expected they would need for months at a time.
States like Kansas and Virginia announced that schools will not reopen this spring, North Carolina is closed until May 15, and California is closed indefinitely. New York City mayor Bill de Blasio says his cityโs public schools may not reopen this year. It is possible that many of the nationโs children will not be back in school until either summer classes or next fall.
This means that for students in these states and cities, their final grades for the year were effectively set in early-to-mid-March when schools closed. When these students apply for college, will admissions officers look at their transcripts differently? Will there be a general sense that grades for 2020 should be evaluated differently, because the school year ended so abruptly, without the usual final exams?
In most school districts, the school year is about five-eighths complete. Most schools are expected to advance students to the next grade next fall.
The AP College Board will run AP exams online this year, covering the material that most schools were able to complete by early March.
Much of the college admissions process has just been thrown into confusion.
For many schools, March and April are when they send out the bulk of acceptances or denials. Financial aid packages are sent out, too โ setting up the options for how to pay. Traditionally, May 1 is โdecision day,โ the deadline for students to submit a deposit to hold their spot at a school for the following fall semester. But thereโs a growing movement this year to shift the deadline back a month, to June 1, to give students and families more time.
With the economy in free fall, millions of families who might have been able to cover the costs of higher education now canโt. In 2018, Americans had more than 13.6 million 529 college savings accounts, worth $328 billion. The value of those accounts is now probably significantly smaller.







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