The newest Public Policy Poll shows Marco Rubio with a 32 point lead over Gov. Charlie Crist in the Florida Republican Senate primary, and leading 71–17 (yes, you read that right) among conservatives.
The poll shows conservative and moderate Republicans polarized on the race, with the latter still favoring Crist 49–36. But crucially, moderates make up just 31 percent of likely primary voters in the PPP sample. By contrast, 50 percent of Florida GOPers think Crist is too liberal, and 41 percent believe that Republican leadership in Washington is too liberal. Among these blocs, Rubio leads 90–5 and 83–10, respectively.
And the news only gets worse for Crist:
It also looks like it’s too late for Crist to audible and make another run for Governor. GOP voters say they’d prefer likely nominee Bill McCollum over Crist by a 49-35 margin. In fact Republicans generally just want Crist to go away- 56% say they’d like him out of office a year from now to 19% who’d like to see him continue as Governor and only 14% who want him in the Senate.
Crist’s biggest problem is that 56% of Republican primary voters disapprove of the job he’s doing as Governor to just 29% who approve. Any time that disapproval figure goes over 50% it means you have to actively change voters’ minds about you to have any success, and that’s a tall order.
Our general election Senate numbers, which we’ll release tomorrow, find that Crist is a good deal more popular with Democrats now than he is with Republicans. His path to any future electoral victory may come as an independent or perhaps even as a Democrat.
Full poll results here.






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