For whatever it’s worth: InTrade still has Giuliani in the lead for the nomination (28.8 percent), but he is sinking fast. Romney is at 24.4, McCain has risen to 16.0, Huckabee is at 14.7, and Thompson is at 4.2. Implicitly, the market is saying that McCain is the most electable (43.8 percent likelihood of winning if nominated), followed by Giuliani (41.3), Romney (38.9), Huckabee (34.0), and Thompson (28.6).