Jonah, I’m working my fourth-hand sources as hard as I can but haven’t come up with anything solid yet, although there are indications that Kerry is out to a big early lead. Meanwhile, this is the new Franklin-Pierce New Hampshire poll that shows McCain leading Romney, 37-31. It doesn’t appear that McCain has topped out yet in New Hampshire. McCain’s surge looks a lot like Huckabee’s in Iowa, with this exception–Romney had about three weeks to try to tamp Huckabee down, whereas he’ll now have about five days to do the same to McCain in New Hampshire. If he had another three weeks, Romney might be able to remind Republicans of what they didn’t like about McCain in the first place (which he has already been trying to do, of course), but time is now very short. So this is a case where the front-loading looked like it would work to Romney’s advantage, but it might actually hurt him. Frontloading helps the hot candidate, and at the moment–at least prior to tonight in Iowa–that’s the Arizona maverick. We’ll know more soon–things are going to start happening really fast…