You may know that Israel is voting today, and that the incapacitated Ariel Sharon’s new centrist party Kadima has been projected to win the largest number of seats (35 out of 120), with Sharon’s old party Likud knocked down to 14 seats. Those projections might be wrong. The polls close in an hour, and by law the exit polls can’t be revealed, but the chief exit pollster just told Israel TV that the results are very interesting and contain surprises. If the surprise is that Likud does far better than the projections and Kadima far worse, that will mean the Palestinian selection of Hamas to run the Palestinian Authority will have changed Israel’s electoral destiny as well. Hat tip: Vital Perspective. UPDATE: The smart money right now, half an hour before polls close, is that the left-wing Labour party is going to make a stronger showing, not Likud, owing to low voter turnout.