There’s been a lot of attention on the Delaware Republican Senate primary, but the more interesting race to watch tomorrow night may be in New Hampshire.
There, Sarah Palin endorsed attorney general Kelly Ayotte early on. As did the Susan B. Anthony List. She appeared to be the most viable pro-life candidate at the time, in what has become a four-way fight.
But in the latest Public Policy Polling survey, Manchester lawyer Ovide Lamontagne is only down seven points (he has been down 39 points in a PPP July poll).
In the PPP poll, Kelly Ayotte carries 41 percent of men and 33 percent of women; Lamontagne has the support of 30 percent of men and 30 percent of women.
The women’s numbers point to something interesting: Kellyanne Conway, who is doing polling for Ovide Lamontagne, see Ayotte as having “an unusual gender gap problem. She is lagging among female voters. In our survey she took 38% of men, but only 29% of women; Ovide won 24% of men and 23% of women.”
The Susan B. Anthony List credibly defends their endorsement of Ayotte, saying they viewed Ayotte as the most viable pro-lifer in the race when they endorsed her (she scored 100 percent on their questionnaire). And the National Right to Life just last week reissued a vote of confidence for her. Director of state legislation Mary Spaulding Balch sent out a statement pushing back against criticisms of Ayotte: “Anyone who actually studies the timeline and the facts will find that Ayotte used her office to vigorously defend the law all the way to the U.S. Supreme Court only to have pro-abortion members of the New Hampshire legislature ultimately repeal the act in the middle of the legal challenge.”
But now PPP polling suggests either Ayotte or Lamontagne are competitive in a race with Democrat Paul Hodes.
I think pro-lifers win whoever – Lamontagne or Ayotte — wins tomorrow. But I also wonder if Sarah Palin and others are overdoing it in their Ayotte push these last few days. Lamontagne is a longtime, dedicated, conservative activist — there is little question where he will stand on issues if he winds up in Washington. And, despite some national conservatives being at one another’s throats right now, his current momentum is healthy, for this, among other reasons: It once again undercuts the “foolish conventional wisdom that women vote for women,” as Conway puts it. “Women in New Hampshire want someone who shares their ideas, not their gender. Ovide has connected with women across New Hampshire based on his commitment to fiscal sanity and positive campaign. If you have chemistry, biology does not matter.”
All things being equal, having a pro-life woman in the Senate is a good thing, for sure. I appreciate the “Mama Grizzly” push – which SBA List was doing way before it was cool. But sometimes it’s not quite equal. And sometimes, the endorsement wars get a bit too much and I’m happy to trust the prudential judgments of in-state voters.
May the best pro-life candidate win.





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