The Corner

‘Mistakes Were Made’ Part Deux: Looking Back at My Election Predictions

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Left: Former president Donald Trump at the Turning Point Action Conference in West Palm Beach, Fla., July 15, 2023. Right: Vice President Kamala Harris at a campaign rally in Savannah, Ga., August 29, 2024.

Marco Bello, Elizabeth Frantz/Reuters

Back on August 9, I made four election-season predictions for the fall campaign. At the time that I made them, I put all four in the “bold but plausible” bucket. Just a week out from the polls’ closing on November 5, let’s see how I’m doing.

Assessment: I’ll mark myself as “correct” on this one. After the Trump–Harris debate on September 10, the campaigns canceled any plans for further debates. I happen to think that this was a mistake, especially for Harris, who benefited from the first debate and has still, amazingly, failed to fully articulate a rationale for her presidency. What’s clear is that both camps have come to believe that the massive audiences and high-stakes exposure of a presidential debate could only redound to the detriment of their undisciplined and vapid candidates.

Mark Antonio Wright

About the Author

Mark Antonio Wright

Mark Antonio Wright is the executive editor of National Review.

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