On cloture — I think we’re all hearing pretty much the same thing (although hopefully not from the same person). On Tuesday morning, before the first vote, I checked in with a plugged-in Senate source who predicted cloture would win 60 to 64 votes. The final was 64. Tonight that source says of tomorrow’s second, more critical, cloture vote: “Good chance cloture will fail. If it passes, it will be a razor-thin margin. More likely to fail.” Things are still fluid and could look different in the morning, but that’s the way it seems at 10 p.m. tonight.