All the drama and interest has drained from the Oscars, as dozens of awards shows before the nominations make it painfully clear who and what will be nominated. So it was this morning, as nearly every major nomination was easily predicted — with the exception of Keira Knightley, who received an entirely undeserved nod as Best Actress for her unexceptional performance in Pride and Prejudice. Otherwise, I can tell you right now that Best Picture will be won by Brokeback Mountain, that Best Actor will be Philip Seymour Hoffman in Capote, that Best Actress will be Reese Witherspoon for Walk the Line, that Best Supporting Actress will be Rachel Weisz in The Constant Gardener and Best Supporting Actor will be George Clooney for Syriana. Something unexpected might happen in the screenplay nominations, but really, who cares? This will be the least-watched Oscar show in history, by the way.