… Philip Klein proposes an answer to one of my questions. I take his point, although–and I’m obviously not a pollster–I think it can be a little risky to make straight-line projections from the “second choice” numbers (supporters of which particular candidates is he the second choice of, when do they drop out, etc. etc.?). I have a lot of respect for Rudy and he’s defied my expectations so far, but if you’re the most moderate candidate in a GOP race, pulling mid-to-high 20′s in national polls, and running behind in early states, it would, on the face of it, be a pretty treacherous road ahead.