Iโm always suspicious of polls that claim that peopleโs views on a particular policy become more positive or negative the better informed they are. Very often, the poll isnโt โinformingโ respondents so much as spinning themโand sometimes misinforming them. (Widely reported claims about how people are more supportive of funding for embryo-destructive research the more informed they are were based on such polls.)
So I was suspicious when I read Will Lesterโs AP write-up of a poll claiming that people grow less supportive of the Patriot Act the more they know about it.
The poll also claims that most (57 percent of) people want Patriot modified rather than allowed to expire or renewed in its current form. That may be so, but Iโm not reassured of its truth by the questionโs wording, which presents modification as the moderate alternative. If โstrengthening Patriotโโlet alone โstrengthening Patriotโs anti-terrorist provisionsโโwere presented as an alternative, presumably renewal would look more moderate and attract more support. (For that matter, do all the people who want Patriot โmodifiedโ want it weakened?)
The poll finds 43 percent support for a Patriot provision that โenables federal law enforcement agents in terrorism investigations to require banks to turn over records to the government without a judgeโs prior approval.โ If people knew that the basic authority is longstanding (predating Patriot), it would probably increase that approval level.
The poll finds that only 23 percent of the public supports โsneak-and-peekโ searches. But its question wording stacks the deck. The question reads: โA proposal being debated would enable courts to authorize federal law enforcement agents to conduct secret searches of Americansโ homes without informing the occupants for an unspecified period of time, if they argue that immediate notification might have adverse results on the criminal investigation. Do you support or oppose this proposal?โ
First of all, the question shouldnโt include the word โsecretโโthe more precise โwithout informing the occupants for [a] period of timeโ is already in there. Second, the court generally would specify the period of time (although it could extend it). Third, law enforcement agents have to do more than merely โargueโ against immediate notification; they have to persuade the court. Something like โdemonstrateโ would be better. Fourth, they have to demonstrate more than โadverse results.โ Whatโs being debated in Congress is whether it should be possible for agents to get a delayed-notification search warrant when they have reason to believe that immediate notification would result in the intimidation of witnesses or โseriously jeopardizeโ the investigation.
I imagine that an appropriately reworded question would generate substantially higher support.
This isnโt the worst poll Iโve seen, but itโs not great.






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