I think polls contain useful information, but need to be interpreted carefully. As I write at Bloomberg View, we’re hearing a lot these days about polls on immigration and guns that overstate how liberal the public is.
This New York Times article by Nate Cohn, on how exit polls undercount white working-class voters, is also worth reading (although only after you’ve clicked on the link to my column, of course). Among the implications he draws out: Trump has not lost as much ground among whites with college degrees as the exit polls suggest, because he probably didn’t win among them in the first place.






Comments