Donald Trump might win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination. He might, in fact, win due to some combination of dynamics similar to those that propelled him eight years ago: Republican voter mistrust of the party’s other leadership, Trump’s celebrity and facility for attracting free media coverage, a divided field that suffers from collective-action problems and includes some people acting effectively as Trump allies, opponents fearful of confronting him directly, and underperformance and in some cases outright self-destruction from promising alternative candidates.
The key word here, however, is “might.”
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