The key vote here was Olympia Snowe’s, for reasons Greg Sargent explained earlier, and she voted no. The vote was 57-41, with two no-shows (Lieberman would have voted yes, and Republican John Ensign presumably would have voted no), and with Reid voting no for procedural reasons. That means that even with every senator present, the Democrats would have to get one of the Republicans to switch his or her vote in order to pass DISCLOSE. I’m not saying it won’t happen, but the chances are looking slim after today’s vote.