Kate, are you seriously arguing that a candidate in the lead a year out with 31 percent is in bad shape because he doesn’t have the other 69 percent going for him? With John McCain garnering the closest margin, the fact is that it appears nearly 7 in 10 Republicans polled are going for either McCain or Giuliani, who (according to social conservative leaders) are BOTH unacceptable. That’s not going to fly. Absent a self-destruction, one or the other of these guys is going to be the nominee.