It is early to predict the political fallout from the fall of Afghanistan, or to project the 2022 midterm elections. It is even still a little early to draw hard conclusions about what will happen in the California recall in September or the Virginia elections for governor and House of Delegates in November. But we can say this much: There are warning lights flashing for Democrats.
Warning light No. 1: Joe Biden’s plunging approval rating in national polls. In the RealClearPolitics average, Biden was in double-digit positive territory into late June, and just shy of that less than a month ago. He went underwater, with more voters disapproving than approving, for the first time on Saturday, and as of this writing, has rebounded just slightly to 48.3% approval and 47.3% disapproval. The honeymoon period is over; Biden will now have to fight to recover or at least stave off further deterioration.
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