An email on the Allard seat from a Colorado insider:

Could be a rerun of 2004 in terms of the party dynamics. The establishment
seems to be angling toward Scott McInnis. He has roughly $1 million in the bank
in unspent campaign funds from Congress, he’s pro-choice (I’m pretty sure) and
clearly can raise funds. I don’t think he will electrify the GOP, and this will
be his downfall.
And then, of course, there is Bob Schaffer. He is clearly the better candidate
in terms of polish, and drive, and likeability. But the rap on him is what the
establishment usually puts on tough conservatives: he’s mobbed up with the
Christian Right, is too conservative and therefore can’t win statewide. And his
network of campaign staff is likely to be the very same people who ran Beauprez.
I suspect Focus on the Family will start tub thumping for Schaffer soon.
Owens is out. I think he’s done running for anything.
At this point I see at minimum a two-way donnybrook between the establishment and the activist bases in the GOP. The party here is split down the middle. And Mark Udall has no primary, an unlimited warchest of 527 money, huge positives, very few negatives. So, at
this point, I’d give Udall — who looks like a central casting version of a
Colorado congressman — a huge advantage.
It’s likely to be McInnis vs. Udall. With Udall likely to win by at least 5.