My Bloomberg column.

Democrats are enthusiastic about voting [this year]. There is a temptation to treat their turnout purely as a function of their hostility to the way President Donald Trump has conducted himself in office. But it’s important to remember that partisans of the opposition party are typically more motivated to vote in midterm elections than supporters of a president – any president. Grievance is a more powerful motivator than satisfaction. . . .
What might be called the Republican-establishment message is not generating countervailing enthusiasm within the Trump coalition.