Sure, Joe Biden’s reelection prospects don’t look great today. Inflation remains stubbornly high, the president’s advanced age and its attendant infirmities are a bipartisan concern, and his family’s legal woes are only getting worse, threatening to consume his administration. But things change.
The Federal Reserve now forecasts that its efforts to rein in inflation will not produce a recession. The southern border is still a mess, but it’s not the mess many predicted it would be after pandemic-related enforcement policies sunsetted. The Ukrainian counteroffensive in which the administration has invested both political and hard capital is producing green shoots. The violent-crime rate in some of the nation’s most besieged cities appears to be declining. Republicans need an insurance policy if the issues they are leveraging against the Biden administration in 2023 lose salience in 2024. Fortunately, they have one in the form of Vice President Kamala Harris.
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