The latest count has Trump leading Harris in the popular vote, 49.94 to 48.26 percent: a margin of 1.68. In the tipping-point state, Pennsylvania, Trump leads 50.39 to 48.65: a margin of 1.74. The Electoral College bias that was such a staple of postelection analysis in 2012 (when it favored Democrats) and 2016 (when it favored Republicans) essentially disappeared in this election.