Jonathan Cohnโs New Republic defense of the Democratsโ fiscal record isnโt online. At one point he writes that Republican entitlement reforms โdonโt even do a very good job of making the programs more affordable.โ He continues, โAfter all, itโs the Republican plan for Social Security privatization that anticipates the federal government borrowing trillions of dollars in โtransition fundsโ in order to pay current beneficiaries while younger workers start their investment accounts. (Privatization advocates argue that these transition costs donโt matter, because they merely force the government to take out a loan equal to the amount it already owesโas an implicit debtโto future retirees. But many economists worry that the bond markets will react much more harshly to this new, โexplicitโ debt.)โ
Cohn deserves credit for actually mentioning the reformersโ argument on transition costs. But I think heโs got an important detail wrong. Most reformers are talking about a package deal that includes both private accounts and cuts in future benefits. So theyโre not talking about taking out a loan equal to Social Securityโs implicit debt, but rather one much smaller than it. They are moving some costs forward while eliminating othersโand itโs entirely possible that the markets will react favorably to that combination.






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