The conventional wisdom is that Mitt Romney, even with his deep ties to Michigan, doesn’t have a prayer of winning the state, thanks to the President Obama’s auto bailouts and the state’s long streak of voting Democratic in presidential elections. But Romney thinks he has a shot, and spent yesterday campaigning in the Wolverine state. In my piece today, I look at why he may not be crazy to think he could flip Michigan red:

Romney has reason to believe he has a fighting chance to win the Wolverine State: Two polls released this month showed the gap between him and President Obama to be a mere point, although a third poll, by Rasmussen Reports, gave Obama an eight-point lead.
“The political demographics in Michigan have changed,” says Saul Anuzis, former chairman of the Michigan GOP. “We have a Republican governor, a Republican secretary of state, a Republican attorney general, a majority in the state house, a majority in the state senate, as well as a majority in the congressional delegation. I think that there is a real reverse coattails effect, so to speak.”

Read the rest here.