I recently had dinner with some political reporter types and I asked the question: Will Obama have a non-crazy (i.e. not Nader, not Kucinich) primary challenger in 2012? The reaction was interesting in that most folks hadn’t thought of the question before but immediately realized it wasn’t entirely implausible. It was, however, the consensus that it’s unlikely (and, of course, way too early to predict). Still, I thought this email was interesting:

Hi Jonah,
I know things are looking bad for the Dems right now but I would have thought Bayh had a secure seat. Any chance he wants to lay low for this election cycle and then challenge Obama in 2012? As Democrats go, Bayh occasionally shows a bit of common sense (and winning in Indiana suggests the voters think so to).
If 2010 turns out to be a bigger wipeout than 1994 then Obama will face a challenger. Bayh could point to his record of warning fellow Democrats of the mistakes Obama was making and a 2010 debacle would suggest he was right. I don’t know if he could defeat Obama in a primary challenge but he could have a shot, especially in states with open primaries and states with a a more moderate (i.e. White) base. Running as the savior of a party must have some appeal to Bayh.
This stuff if better than following sports. I hope you and your family are doing well.