For the Record

It wouldn’t be until after Dallas that Reagan-Bush would regain the lead they lost to the Democrats following San Francisco, said the seers. Who were wrong. A Harris poll (July 20 to 24) found Reagan-Bush back with two-point lead over Mondale-Ferraro. A Gallup (July 27 to 29) gave R-B a ten-point lead, 52 to 42 per cent. . . . Reagan was not hurt by Commerce Secretary Malcolm Baldrige’s report earlier that same week of 7.5 per cent economic growth for second quarter with inflation down to annualized 3.2 per cent (from 4.4 per cent in first quarter). Commented Baldrige: “I don’t know how you can write a script for a better recovery.” . . . Detroit Free Press poll showing substantial Reagan lead in Michigan had interesting breakdown. Mondale did best with blacks (87 to 7) and with voters who hadn’t completed high school, while Reagan had 24-point edge with independents and scored well with the under-thirty crowd and college graduates. . . . Initial reaction of Reagan campaign staff was to lay off Geraldine Ferraro, except for criticism of her voting record, which, as Ed Rollins did bring himself to mention, puts her to the left of 99 per cent of her colleagues. . . . Another interesting poll breakdown. First polls after Ferraro selection indicated that most people wouldn’t change their vote because there was a woman on the ticket (no one likes to confess to prejudice), but more recent Gallup indicates men and women alike believe a man would perform better on foreign policy and economic matters; they give the advantage to a woman only on matter of improving “the quality of life.”

A couple of advance notes on Dallas: According to a well-placed source in Reagan campaign, infighting is taking place over Jeane Kirkpatrick’s role at the convention. The black hats are trying to limit her speech to ten minutes. . . . Liberal Republican Sen. Charles Mathias will attend as an at-large delegate, but by the skin of his teeth. He placed seventh out of seven in Maryland GOP Convention balloting. . . . Probably not attending, Lowell Weicker’s nominee for Connecticut national committeeman, John Miller, who lost out to conservative former State Sen. Roger Eddy.

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It wouldn’t be until after Dallas that Reagan-Bush would regain the lead they lost to the Democrats following San Francisco, said the seers. Who were wrong. A Harris poll (July 20 to 24) found Reagan-Bush back with two-point lead over Mondale-Ferraro. A Gallup (July 27 to 29) gave R-B a ten-point lead, 52 to 42 per cent. . . . Reagan was not hurt by Commerce Secretary Malcolm Baldrige’s report earlier that same week of 7.5 per cent economic growth for second quarter with inflation down to annualized 3.2 per cent (from 4.4 per cent in first quarter). Commented Baldrige: “I don’t know how you can write a script for a better recovery.” . . . Detroit Free Press poll showing substantial Reagan lead in Michigan had interesting breakdown. Mondale did best with blacks (87 to 7) and with voters who hadn’t completed high school, while Reagan had 24-point edge with independents and scored well with the under-thirty crowd and college graduates. . . . Initial reaction of Reagan campaign staff was to lay off Geraldine Ferraro, except for criticism of her voting record, which, as Ed Rollins did bring himself to mention, puts her to the left of 99 per cent of her colleagues. . . . Another interesting poll breakdown. First polls after Ferraro selection indicated that most people wouldn’t change their vote because there was a woman on the ticket (no one likes to confess to prejudice), but more recent Gallup indicates men and women alike believe a man would perform better on foreign policy and economic matters; they give the advantage to a woman only on matter of improving “the quality of life.”

A couple of advance notes on Dallas: According to a well-placed source in Reagan campaign, infighting is taking place over Jeane Kirkpatrick’s role at the convention. The black hats are trying to limit her speech to ten minutes. . . . Liberal Republican Sen. Charles Mathias will attend as an at-large delegate, but by the skin of his teeth. He placed seventh out of seven in Maryland GOP Convention balloting. . . . Probably not attending, Lowell Weicker’s nominee for Connecticut national committeeman, John Miller, who lost out to conservative former State Sen. Roger Eddy.