For the Record

■ Going into the Conventions two professional political analysts—Left and Right—had Ronald Reagan winning the election. Evans and Novak’s early July rundown gives Reagan 396 electoral votes (270 needed to win), to 120 for Carter (down from 212 a week earlier), to 22 for Anderson (up from zero a week earlier). Alan Baron’s count was different, but came up with the same winner: Reagan 297, Carter 160, Anderson 77. Both Baron and E&N believe Anderson is well ahead in Conn. and Mass. . . . But there’s heavy weather ahead. Kevin Phillips finds talk of Republican unity “absurd” when “the Rockefellers, Lodges, and Eisenhowers are signing up with Anderson.” George Lodge (Henry Cabot’s son) is Anderson’s stand-in running-mate in Mass., and Milton Eisenhower his stand-in running-mate in Va. Laurance and five other Rockefellers have contributed to the Anderson kitty. . . . Al Barkan, head of the AFL-CIO COPE, is touring the country warning that a Reagan election will mean “a flood of anti-labor legislation that will make Taft-Hartley and Landrum-Griffin look like pro-labor acts.” . . . And the New Right isn’t helping. Says Paul Weyrich of the Free Congress Committee in the July Conservative Digest’. “Reagan is a slightly better than average Republican who will, unfortunately, bring many of the tired old Eastern Republicans back to Washington.”

■ More bad news in the defense field. A little-publicized report by Gen. Richard Ellis, commander of the Strategic Air Command, says that in the three years of the Carter Administration the U.S. has fallen behind the Soviet Union in strategic power—and will remain behind for the next few years. . . . Meanwhile, after ten years in construction, the Soviets have launched a mammoth 700-foot submarine in a White Sea shipyard. Its equipment includes fifty launch tubes for cruise missiles. . . . Sen. Sam Nunn (D., Ga.) is desperately worried about the volunteer army; says Army Sec. Clifford Alexander is covering up its shortcomings. “The military is not an armed WPA,” says Nunn, “and we must not permit the U.S. Army to become a Job Corps equipped with tanks and nuclear missiles.”

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■ Going into the Conventions two professional political analysts—Left and Right—had Ronald Reagan winning the election. Evans and Novak’s early July rundown gives Reagan 396 electoral votes (270 needed to win), to 120 for Carter (down from 212 a week earlier), to 22 for Anderson (up from zero a week earlier). Alan Baron’s count was different, but came up with the same winner: Reagan 297, Carter 160, Anderson 77. Both Baron and E&N believe Anderson is well ahead in Conn. and Mass. . . . But there’s heavy weather ahead. Kevin Phillips finds talk of Republican unity “absurd” when “the Rockefellers, Lodges, and Eisenhowers are signing up with Anderson.” George Lodge (Henry Cabot’s son) is Anderson’s stand-in running-mate in Mass., and Milton Eisenhower his stand-in running-mate in Va. Laurance and five other Rockefellers have contributed to the Anderson kitty. . . . Al Barkan, head of the AFL-CIO COPE, is touring the country warning that a Reagan election will mean “a flood of anti-labor legislation that will make Taft-Hartley and Landrum-Griffin look like pro-labor acts.” . . . And the New Right isn’t helping. Says Paul Weyrich of the Free Congress Committee in the July Conservative Digest’. “Reagan is a slightly better than average Republican who will, unfortunately, bring many of the tired old Eastern Republicans back to Washington.”

■ More bad news in the defense field. A little-publicized report by Gen. Richard Ellis, commander of the Strategic Air Command, says that in the three years of the Carter Administration the U.S. has fallen behind the Soviet Union in strategic power—and will remain behind for the next few years. . . . Meanwhile, after ten years in construction, the Soviets have launched a mammoth 700-foot submarine in a White Sea shipyard. Its equipment includes fifty launch tubes for cruise missiles. . . . Sen. Sam Nunn (D., Ga.) is desperately worried about the volunteer army; says Army Sec. Clifford Alexander is covering up its shortcomings. “The military is not an armed WPA,” says Nunn, “and we must not permit the U.S. Army to become a Job Corps equipped with tanks and nuclear missiles.”