70 Year Magazine Archive

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■ Conservatives dissatisfied with Ronald Reagan’s performance on foreign affairs watching for two signs of renascent detentism. Will there be a Shanghai Communiqué II, further eroding U.S. support for Taiwan? Pushing it, say insiders, are Secretary Haig; John Holdridge, Asst. Sec. for East Asian and Pacific Affairs; and Bill Rope of State’s China desk. Clue to watch for: Will State okay continued Taiwan production of F-15E fighter past July 1 renewal deadline (see also “I he Week”)? Second: Will State get rid of hard-lining Ed Rowny, key figure on the U.S. disarmament and arms-control team? . . . Reagan has come through on domestic issues. Last week his bill on tuition tax credits went to Congress- Robert Dole sponsor in Senate, Reps. Willis Gradison Jr, (R., Ohio) and Mario Biaggi (D., N.Y.) in House. . . . Possible bad sign: Departure of Under Secretary Norman B. Ture from Treasury, following within few months the departure of the other leading Treasury supply-sider, Paul Craig Roberts.

■ Kevin Phillips is positively elated about results of early June primaries/ conventions, in California (winner, Pete Wilson), New Jersey (Millicent Fenwick), and Virginia (Independent Harry Byrd pulled out, making Republican Paul Trible front-runner). This means, says Phillips, that Republicans in Senate will break even in Nov. or gain one or two seats. Phillips sees the GOP “very shaky” in Conn. (Lowell Weicker) and “shaky” in Utah (Orrin Hatch) and New Mexico (Harrison Schmitt). . . . In California, losing Republican senatorial candidates Reps. Robert Dornan and Barry Jr. gave Pete Wilson their ringing endorsement; Rep. Pete McCloskey allowed as how he was not greatly enthusiastic about the San Diego Mayor. . . . Should be noted: in California initiatives the voters continued Prop. 13 mood, voting to eliminate inheritance tax, to index state income taxes, to turn down expensive Peripheral Canal (and also, incidentally, to spend more money on more jails). . . . Political analysts now taking New York businessman Lew Lehrman’s gubernatorial race seriously since his smashing win at party convention (Lehrman got two-thirds of the vote). Still has Sept, primary against former federal prosecutor Paul Curran, but already rumors are around that Curran may back down. Democratic political analyst Alan Baron now says that Lehrman “has a shot” against Mayor Edward Koch in November—presuming, as expected, that Koch wins the Democratic primary.

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