Going into Super Tuesday, Republicans first. South Dakota boosted Dole, hurt Bush, boosted Robertson, hurt Kemp. Dole swept it (55 per cent) and Robertson finished second (20 per cent), one point ahead of Bush, Kemp trailed badly (5 per cent). . . . Dole scored victory same week when he won endorsement by South Carolina’s most popular politico, Sen. Strom Thurmond. Thurmond thinks Dole will run better race than Bush (S.C. primary is March 5). . . . Still, latest polls show Bush leading handily in South; beating Dole 51-to-20 per cent. (Nationally, Bush’s lead has been cut to 42-to-27 per cent.) . . . Wild card is Pat Robertson. At turn of year Robert Strauss, Mr. Democratic Politics, said Robertson’s candidacy was possibly “the most critical development of the 1988 campaign. . . . The Robertson people don’t play and then go home. They come for breakfast, lunch, and dinner, and they live with you.” . . . Robertson also has the bucks. He has already spent $3.1 million in 17 Southern states, to Bob Dole’s $2 million. And he has the troops. In Louisiana and Oklahoma, the Robertson organization has gotten thousands of Democrats to switch registration to Republican. “We haven’t seen switching like this since George Wallace came through here,” says Buck Falco, vote registrar in Shreveport, La. . . . Another unknown: how big will the voter turnout be on March 8? Turnout in Southern primaries in 1980—last time there were contested primaries in both parties—was 20 per cent: 14 per cent in the Democratic primary; 6 per cent in the Republican. A small turnout this year, says Prof. Merle Black of the University of North Carolina, would help Bush and Jesse Jackson.
“Keep close to the wall, darlings . . . out of the way of falling stockbrokers. “




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