Double, double toil and trouble — the electoral witching hour draws nigh for the GOP in 2026. We are well past Labor Day weekend — traditionally the last point at which a party on the electoral back foot is thought to have any chance of turning its fortunes around before the November midterm elections — and a roiling cauldron of voter discontent now seems set to bubble over volcanically onto the Republican Party.
According to all projections, the wages of Donald Trump’s second term are likely to cost the GOP its narrow House majority. But the question remains: Will the GOP’s 53–47 Senate majority also fall? A year ago, the notion would have seemed far-fetched. Now it seems more like a coin flip.
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