Election Forecast
I believe the Republicans will gain three Senate seats and lose three to five. (The present division is 49 Democrats and 47 Republicans.) While it is traditional for the House to go with the Presidency, I think this election will be the exception. (The present division in the House is 232 Democrats, 203 Republicans.) I believe that the Democrats will increase their majority. In the marginal districts which change parties with considerable frequency, the Democratic advantage is material. Forty-eight of the Republican Representatives chosen two years ago were elected by majorities ranging from a fraction of 1 to 3 per cent. Only 22 Democrats had less than a 4 per cent majority.




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