Things not going so well for the Reagan camp? True, but look at some of the figures. Latest Newsweek survey shows Reagan winning the election by fifty electoral votes. . . . Evans & Novak’s latest rundown gives Reagan 472 electoral votes to 66 for Carter, none for Anderson, but their survey shows four Southern states (Ark., N.C., S.C., Tenn.) shifting from Reagan to Carter and only one (Conn.) from Anderson to Reagan. More important, they show some of the big ones (Conn., Mass., Mich., Minn., Pa., Wise.) now tipping toward Carter. . . . May not be true this time, but since 1960 the presidential candidate ahead in the Gallup as of Labor Day has gone on to win. On Labor Day it was Reagan 39, Carter 38, Anderson 14. . . . One big plus of the week: rejection by a three-man federal court of Common Cause efforts to ban fund-raising by public affairs groups. This means that pro-Reagan Americans for an Effective Presidency, Fund for a Conservative Majority, and Americans for Change are back in business: money was slow coming in while the matter was in court. . . . Finally, of the 44 contestants in the Miss America Pageant, 19 are for Reagan, to 11 for Carter, eight for Anderson, six undecided.
Big troubles on the John Anderson front (by definition, any presidential candidate who has to pick Patrick Lucey as his running-mate is in trouble). George Will suggests Anderson’s media-hype is a thing of the past: “Some ladies and gentlemen of the press who had a hand in inventing Anderson last February are now becoming cross with him. They have concluded that his candidacy may help Reagan, so they say he should pack it in.” . . . He’s also in financial and organizational trouble. Three of his key aides, including deputy campaign director Ed Coyle, campaign treasurer Francis Sheehan (both from the Mo Udall presidential campaign staff in 1976), and chief scheduler Michael Fernandez, have quit. … If he loses in November, will Anderson rejoin the Republican Party (would they have him?)? “No,” says Anderson. “It would be a betrayal of my independent campaign.”




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