I didn’t trust the last one that came out that had McCain down big and I don’t trust this one that has McCain surging.

From the poll on June 25, here is the breakdown by party:

In this national poll’s random sample of voters, 39% identified themselves as Democrats, 22% as Republicans and 27% as independents. In a similar poll a year ago, 33% identified themselves as Democrats, 28% as Republicans and 30% as independents.

From the latest one, the breakdown is:

34 – Dems, 29 – Inds, 29 – Reps, 4 – Something else, 4 – Don’t know

So, it’s not shocking that McCain is doing better as the number of Republicans is 7 points higher than in June, and the number of Democrats is 5 points lower. I highly doubt the party identification numbers have moved this much. The question remains: Where exactly are the party identification numbers?

Scott Rasmussen, who polls party identification monthly, never has these big swings. He currently has Obama +2 with leaners.