Couple reasons. . .

1. Look at the election numbers from 2002 and 2008. In 2002, an off-year like this year’s election, Biden had 135,000 votes for the win. In 2008, O’Donnell, vs. Biden, had 140,000 votes. A couple lucky breaks on election day, a dispirited Dem base, and a good GOTV effort and this race is much closer than people think.

2. The MSM won’t be able to help themselves digging up videos from O’Donnell’s past. It’s good ratings. Anyway, there will be a reflexive blowback from Republicans once they go overboard, as they certainly will.

But, then again, I agree with most of what Karl Rove said last night on Hannity. There are some holes in O’Donnell’s narrative that need to be filled in, and then we’ll see how this race really shapes up.