Climate Auditโs Steve McIntyre was profiled in Macleans yesterday.
[I]n 2003, when McIntyre first saw the hockey stick graph, it reminded him uncomfortably of some stock promoterโs over-optimistic revenue projection. McIntyre asked lead โhockey stickโ author Michael Mann for the underlying data and was startled when Mann had trouble remembering where he had posted the files to the Internet. โThat was when the penny dropped for me,โ McIntyre says. โI had the sense that Mann was pulling together the data for the first time โ that nobody had ever bothered to inquire independently into the hockey stick before.โ
To McIntyre, a scientistโs data and code stand in the same relationship to a finished paper that drilling cores do to a mining company press release. โIf youโre offering securities to the public,โ McIntyre observed in a May 2008 talk at Ohio State University, โthere are complicated and expensive processes of due diligence, involving audits of financial statements, independent engineering reports, opinions from securities lawyers and so on. There are laws requiring the disclosure of adverse results.โ Peer review in scientific journals is good, he suggested, but it is limited and vulnerable to compromise. โThere is far more independent due diligence on the smallest prospectus offering securities to the public than on a Nature article that might end up having a tremendous impact on policy.โ
The rest here.





Comments