In the vein of choose-your-own-adventure, or perhaps William Safire’s News Quiz…

The winner of Iowa will be…

A) Mitt Romney, because polls underestimate his support among Mormons who will turn out no matter what, because National Review endorsed him, because Tom Tancredo endorsed him and confirmed his immigration street cred, because he’s put the most resources into the state, because he has the best organization…

B) Mike Huckabee, because he’s leading almost all of the polls, because 50 to 60 percent of Republican caucusgoers are religous conservatives, because his style and signature issues are tailor-made for the voters of this state, because Gilchrist’s endorsement innoculates him on the immigration issues, because of Chuck Norris…

C) John McCain, because he has the Des Moines Register’s endorsement, he’s emerging as the anti-Huckabee, he wasn’t supposed to do anything in this state, ARG has him at 20 percent, which will be good for second place, making him the surprise story and the true Comeback Kid…

D) Fred Thompson, because he’s been making an all-out push in the state, because Yepsen says he has momentum, he has Rep. Steve King’s endorsement, Strategic Vision has him at 16 percent and third place, because he has Tancredo’s staff, and he’ll rack up all the supporters of Tancredo, Duncan Hunter, etc.

E) Rudy Giuliani: Because he has the lowest expectations to surpass, and even a third place finish will be seen as a huge shock and significant win.

F) Ron Paul. Because his supporters are the only ones crazy enough to go out when the windchill makes the temperature feel as if it is 17 degrees below zero.