As I’ve noted, the next two primaries are West Virginia and Kentucky, both of which look set to be big wins for Hillary. So you’ll probably see a lot of pressure on superdelegates in the coming days, particularly from Obama folks, who would like to have the “OBAMA LEAD IN SUPERDELEGATES GROWS” headline instead of the “OBAMA LOSES WV, KY, BY 20 POINTS” headlines. You’ll probably see Howard Dean insist that the superdelegates “have to decide now” again.
It reminds me of the joke from Robin Williams’ performance in “Live at the Met“:
Now in England, if you commit a crime, the police don’t have a gun, and you don’t have a gun. So if you commit a crime, they say, “Stop! …Or I’ll say, ‘Stop’ again!”
Howard Dean is essentially left shouting, “Hey, you remaining undecided superdelegates, decide! Or I’ll say, ‘Decide’ again!”
Not only is there nothing in Howard Dean’s power to force the superdelegates to decide, there’s no mechanism for counting the votes until the convention… (Although I suppose theoretically, when the Democratic National Committee’s Rules and Bylaws committee meets May 31, they could try to come up with one.)
This is the meeting where Team Hillary is saying they’re going to use every tool they can use to make sure Michigan and Florida get counted. This would send a fight to the Credentials Committee, who would then have a fight between Obama allies and Hillary allies with Dean folks forced to make the deciding choice. (The Dean folks will probably be caught between two uncomfortable options – help Hillary in what will be seen as stealing the nomination, or not seat delegates from two major states.)






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