The AP has declared Democrat Ted Deutch the winner in Florida’s special House election.

With 59 percent of precincts reporting, Deutch leads over Republican Ed Lynch, 61.5 percent to 35.7 percent. If this holds, it will be a few percentage points behind the usual margin of Wexler (66 percent twice; 72 percent twice, and 100 percent three times) and behind the 66 percent Obama and Kerry won, but not by too much.

UPDATE: With 97.5 percent of precincts reporting, Deutch has put up some numbers very close to Wexler’s floor: 62.1 percent to 35.1 percent.