I talked to one of my McCain guys a little while ago. He didn’t have any data, but he said, “based just on the anecdotal evidence, we feel good about who is showing up to vote and in what numbers.”

Yup, strictly on anexdotal evidence, it seems like the Republican base is turning out. That doesn’t mean McCain is going to win, or even that it will be close. But if the Democrats turn out (a safe bet) and the split among independents is reasonably close, it would be tough for it to be a blowout. But then again, maybe the independents will break more heavily for Obama.

I imagine my McCain guy is hearing stories like this one:

I was a Republican poll watcher in West Chester, PA this morning from 7 a.m. to noon. There were over 600 votes cast in the first ward during those hours. Over a 13 hour election period that will come out to 100 percent turnout when absentee ballots are counted. This ward is affluent lawyers and college professors. I was only supplied with a list of likely McCain voters to strike off as they voted and the list was filling up impressively. I voted this afternoon in West Bradford township and the lines were far, far bigger than anything I’ve ever seen before. I was voter 555 in my staunchly Republican township. I don’t know what to think, but I’m still trending optimistic for Team Good Guys.

Also, a guy close to the Virginia Republican Party told me earlier today that the get-out-the-vote efforts were “hitting their targets” in all of the key parts of the state.

I mention these because my McCain guy specifically said he had heard good anecdotal evidence from Virginia and Pennsylvania…