Another open seat House race where the Republican leads — at least on a generic ballot:

Republicans have an excellent chance to win [Washington state’s] 3rd Congressional District race this year and state Rep. Jaime Herrera would command a big lead in the Republican primary contest if it were held today, but a sizeable segment of voters remain undecided two months before the Aug. 17 primary election, according to a new poll.
The survey by Moore Information, an Oregon polling firm, sampled 300 likely voters in the 3rd District by phone on June 13 and 14.
In response to the question, “If the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or Democratic candidate?” 42 percent said they would vote Republican, 35 percent said they would vote Democratic, 3 percent said “neither” and 20 percent were undecided.

If the mood is such in an open-seat race in a Democratic-leaning state like Washington, imagine what’s it like in an open-seat race in a place like Arkansas.

Wait, don’t imagine:

Second District GOP nominee Tim Griffin revealed details of his campaign strategy at today’s Little Rock Political Animals Club meeting.Griffin disclosed results of an internal poll that show him with a 50-34% lead over his Democratic rival, Joyce Elliott, who was in attendance at today’s event.

Okay, so it’s an internal poll. But with Blanche Lincoln losing big, and Griffin running a strong campaign, that result seems pretty believable.