In Pennsylvania, things are starting to fall into place for the GOP. Congressman Jim Gerlach had given serious thought to running for governor, but polls show state Attorney General Tom Corbett leading him by a wide margin. So Gerlach is dropping his gubernatorial dreams for this cycle and running for reelection in the House.

Tom Corbett leads all Democrats by healthy margins (although it’s early, obviously).

Meanwhile, Gerlach held his seat by 4 percentage points last year while Obama was carrying the district with 58 percent; his prospects for reelection should be quite healthy in a year like this.