From the Union-Leader:

Secretary of State William Gardner has predicted 260,000 Granite Staters will vote in the Democratic primary and 240,000 will vote in the Republican primary. He predicted that 150,000 undeclared voters will cast votes – 90,000 in the Democratic primary and 60,000 in the Republican primary.

Looks like the big lines at the polls aren’t just for Democrats. Couple this with the much higher-than-expected turnout for Republicans in Iowa, and the GOP base doesn’t look as depressed and unmotivated as everybody thought.

If these numbers are accurate, then about 34 percent of the Democrats’ electorate are independents. Actually a little less than I expected, but with Obama winning such a larger share of the independent vote than Hillary, it’s hard to see tonight turning out anything but a big win for him.

On the Republican side, 25 percent of the GOP electorate will be independents. McCain had a solid margin among these voters in the pre-primary polls, but I guess we’ll see how it shakes out. It’s easy to imagine Ron Paul taking a large slice of those voters, too.

UPDATE: Note that ABC is putting out distinctly different numbers in their exit poll, as noted by Mark Steyn in the Corner:

Preliminary exit poll results indicate that just over four in 10 voters in the New Hampshire Democratic primary are independents, compared with 48 percent in 2004 and a record 50 percent in 1992.
In the Republican primary, preliminary results indicate again that about four in 10 are independents, similar to the previous high of 42 percent in 2000.

Under that scenario, I would expect a pretty big win for McCain, and a monstrous win for Obama…